Resideo (REZI) Q4 2025 earnings review

Honeywell Anchor Dropped, Earnings Engine Firing

Resideo capped off a transformative 2025 by beating Q4 guidance across the board. The $1.59 billion buyout of the Honeywell Indemnification Agreement earlier in the year caused a GAAP net loss for FY25, but Q4's clean slate revealed the company's true earnings power: Net Income rocketed to $136 million (up from $23 million a year ago). The Products & Solutions (P&S) segment took the baton as the primary growth driver (+6% YoY), offsetting a sudden reversal in ADI (-1% YoY). Looking ahead, management expects accelerating top-line growth and nearly $1 billion in Adjusted EBITDA for FY26 as they prepare to split into two standalone companies.

🐂 Bull Case

Margin Expansion is Structural

Gross margin expanded another 110 basis points YoY to 29.6%. P&S has now delivered eleven consecutive quarters of year-over-year margin expansion, proving manufacturing efficiencies are deeply embedded.

Unshackled Cash Flow

The termination of the Honeywell Indemnification Agreement permanently frees up roughly $140 million in annual cash flow, driving immediate bottom-line accretion and funding future capital returns or debt paydown.

🐻 Bear Case

ADI Growth Stalls

Despite the $1.4 billion Snap One acquisition last year meant to turbocharge ADI, the segment reversed into a 1% contraction in Q4 due to weakness in video surveillance.

HVAC Macro Headwinds

The residential HVAC market remains soft. While P&S offset this with electrical distribution and retail gains, a prolonged housing stagnation could limit volume upside in 2026.

⚖️ Verdict: 🟢

Bullish. The strategic cleanup is complete. Resideo is now a highly profitable, cash-generative business with expanding margins. If ADI can stabilize its core security categories, the setup for the 2026 spin-off looks highly attractive.

Key Themes

DRIVER🟢🟢

Relentless P&S Margin Execution

The turnaround in the Products & Solutions (P&S) segment is the most impressive operational achievement of the year. P&S delivered its eleventh consecutive quarter of year-over-year gross margin expansion, reaching 41.0% in Q4 (up 20 bps YoY). Paired with solid cost discipline, operating profit grew to $137 million.

CONCERNNEW🔴

ADI Reverses to Contraction

A negative break in trend: ADI revenue fell 1% YoY to $1.18 billion. This contradicts the highly positive narrative surrounding the Snap One integration and earlier momentum. Management attributed the miss to a decline in the video surveillance category, which overshadowed growth in commercial security and Pro AV.

DRIVER🟢

E-Commerce & Exclusive Brands Cushion ADI

While total ADI volume dropped, the mix quality improved. E-commerce revenue grew 3% and Exclusive Brands grew 2%. Because these channels carry significantly higher margins, ADI managed to expand its gross margin by 110 basis points (to 22.7%) despite the top-line contraction.

CONCERN

Softness in Residential HVAC

Management continues to cite a 'soft but improving' residential HVAC market. This macro headwind required P&S to rely heavily on price realization in the OEM channel and new product demand in retail to force 6% top-line growth. Until existing home sales and renovation cycles normalize, volume growth faces friction.

DRIVER🟢

Innovation Cycle Generating Demand

Resideo is aggressively funding its product pipeline, with FY25 R&D expenses surging 50% to $167 million. The investments are translating into sales: management credited new products, such as the latest Honeywell Home thermostats and First Alert connected detectors, as primary drivers for retail and electrical distribution growth.

CONCERNNEW

Operating Expense Creep

While margins expanded, overhead needs monitoring. Q4 R&D jumped 26% YoY ($47M vs $42M) and SG&A crept up 4% YoY ($321M vs $310M). As the company prepares to split into two public entities, duplicated corporate functions and separation costs ($18M in FY25) could temporarily pressure operating leverage.

Other KPIs

Adjusted Operating Cash Flow (FY25)$453 million

Stable. Excluding the one-time $1.59 billion Honeywell payment, cash generation was robust and beat the high end of guidance. Total FY25 GAAP operating cash flow was deeply negative ($1.13 billion), but the underlying business continues to efficiently convert EBITDA to cash.

Net Debt & Liquidity (25Q4)$3.23 billion debt / $661 million cash

Leverage remains elevated following the Snap One acquisition and the Honeywell buyout financing. However, with the $140M annual Honeywell cash drain eliminated, Resideo is positioned to rapidly deleverage ahead of the ADI spin-off in H2 2026.

Guidance

FY26 Net Revenue$7.80 - $7.90 billion

Accelerating. The midpoint of $7.85 billion implies ~5% YoY growth, a solid step up from the 2% organic growth levels seen in the back half of 2025. This suggests management expects end-market stabilization and continued cross-selling momentum.

FY26 Adjusted EBITDA$935 - $985 million

Accelerating. The midpoint of $960 million represents 15% YoY growth. This demonstrates incredible operating leverage—revenue is guided up 5%, but EBITDA is guided up 15%, proving that the structural margin improvements at both P&S and ADI will drop directly to the bottom line.

26Q1 Net Revenue$1,866 - $1,890 million

Accelerating. The midpoint of $1.878 billion implies ~6% YoY growth compared to $1.77 billion in 25Q1, indicating a strong start out of the gate for the new fiscal year.

26Q1 Adjusted EPS$0.58 - $0.62

Stable. The midpoint of $0.60 is slightly below the $0.63 printed in 25Q1, likely reflecting higher interest expenses on the debt taken to finance the Honeywell settlement, offsetting operational profit gains.

Key Questions

ADI Video Surveillance Weakness

ADI total revenue contracted 1% this quarter primarily due to video surveillance. Is this driven by competitive pricing pressures, a structural shift in the market, or simply delayed project spending from commercial clients?

R&D ROI Expectations

R&D expenses increased 50% year-over-year in FY25. As we enter 2026, which specific new product categories or software capabilities will deliver the most tangible ROI on this elevated spending?

Spin-off Dissynergies

With the ADI spin-off targeted for H2 2026, what is your current estimate of the stranded costs or dissynergies that will impact the standalone margin profiles of P&S and ADI?