Life Time (LTH) Q3 2026 earnings review

Life Time earns more per member, but construction drains cash

Life Time, the operator of upscale fitness and country clubs, is collecting much more money per member while still funding its building spree by selling club real estate. Third-quarter revenue rose 14% from a year ago to $894 million as quarterly spending per member passed $1,000, driven by higher monthly dues and personal training. Chief executive Bahram Akradi raised the full-year revenue and operating profit outlook for a third straight quarter, beating what the prior plan pointed to for the second half.

At a glance
Revenue growth at clubs open over a year8.7% 10.6% a year ago; full-year outlook raised to 8.5%–8.7%
Average quarterly revenue per membership$1,016 +12.0% from a year ago
Full-year revenue outlookRaised $22.5M middle of the range: 13.0% growth
Cash flow before property sales (9 months)-$142M by our math, before $262.5M of sale-leaseback proceeds

⚖️ Verdict: 🟢 Bullish

The story got better because full-paying member sign-ups and personal training easily outweighed the planned drop in discounted insurance memberships. Center memberships grew 2.2%, beating management's 1.0% to 1.5% plan even after cutting about 21,500 insurance-funded members. One caution: cash flow before property sales stayed negative at $27 million in the quarter by our math, and the full-year net income outlook was trimmed because fourth-quarter property sales will be booked at a loss.

The question now is whether same-club growth stays near 8% next year or slows toward 5% once the insurance membership cleanup finishes at year-end. Bulls see higher personal training use and newer high-rate clubs carrying growth, while sceptics see a one-off pricing reset running out. Management's initial 2027 outlook next quarter will test both views.

🐂 Bull Case

🟢🟢 strengthening PRODUCT

Higher Prices and Training Lift Revenue Per Member 12%

Life Time runs upscale fitness and country clubs, and it has been replacing lower-paying members whose fees are paid by health insurers with full-paying members. Chief executive Bahram Akradi said "our in-center businesses are performing very well, resulting in higher revenue per membership." Critics have worried that this strategy leaves total member counts barely growing.

This quarter answered both sides. The club operator cut about 21,500 insurance-funded memberships, "which have significantly lower average dues", yet total center memberships still grew 2.2% from a year ago to 858,747, beating the 1.0% to 1.5% plan management gave last quarter.

  • Revenue per center membership: $1,016 in Q3, up 12.0% from a year ago
  • Non-insurance memberships added: about 39,600 from a year ago, or roughly 5.4% growth by our math
  • In-center spending on personal training, spas and cafes: $249.0 million, up 16.6%
  • Membership dues and enrollment fees: $622.1 million, up 13.7%

That matters because extra spending inside the clubs, led by "higher member utilization of our in-center offerings, particularly in Dynamic Personal Training", grew three percentage points faster than dues. Members are paying higher monthly rates and still buying more training sessions.

What to watch: fourth-quarter membership additions when the insurance cuts finish lapping. If total memberships grow less than the planned 2% to 3% once that drag ends, higher dues are starting to slow sign-ups.

🟢 strengthening GROWTH

Same-Club Growth Beat the Cautious Plan and Raised the Year

For two years Life Time has set full-year outlooks that point to a second-half slowdown, then raised them each quarter. Still, bears argue that revenue growth at clubs open more than a year must slow toward 4% to 5% as past price increases and the insurance membership cleanup run their course.

In the third quarter, revenue at clubs open over a year grew 8.7%, even against a tough 10.6% comparison from a year earlier. By our math, the previous full-year outlook pointed to roughly 7.0% to 7.7% growth for the second half, so the club chain raised its full-year same-club outlook from 7.9%–8.3% to 8.5%–8.7%.

Beating the implied second-half rate proves the old outlook was cautious, not that the long-term slowdown concern is gone. By our math, the new full-year target still points to about 8.0% same-club growth in the fourth quarter, down from 9.1% in the second quarter.

What to watch: the initial 2027 comparable-center outlook on the fourth-quarter report. A starting target below 6% would confirm that same-club growth is settling down as the insurance membership cleanup ends.

🟢 strengthening MARGIN

Rent and Overhead Grew Slower Than Revenue, Lifting Margins

Because Life Time sells club buildings to landlords and leases them back to fund construction, a standing concern is that rising rent will eat into its profit margins. This quarter, the company said it saw "greater flow through of our increased revenue" as club revenue outpaced fixed costs.

Operating profit margin rose 0.4 percentage points from a year ago to 17.7%, and Adjusted EBITDA margin — profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and one-offs — rose 0.6 percentage points to 28.7%. Rent fell by 0.4 percentage points of revenue to 10.8%, and corporate overhead and marketing fell by 0.3 percentage points to 7.4%, while day-to-day club operating costs rose 0.2 percentage points to 53.1%.

What to watch: fourth-quarter Adjusted EBITDA margin, which the full-year outlook puts at 27.6% by our math. Holding above 28% while six new clubs open would show mature clubs can absorb expansion costs.

🐻 Bear Case

🔴🔴 persistent CASH contradicts narrative

Free Cash Flow Is Negative Without Selling Club Buildings

"With our low leverage, strong cash flow and robust real estate pipeline, we are well positioned for long-term growth," Akradi said. Life Time counts money from sale-leasebacks — selling club real estate to an investor and renting it back — inside its definition of free cash flow.

Without those property sales, cash generation was negative again. In the third quarter, the athletic club operator brought in $262.1 million of operating cash flow and spent $288.8 million on construction and equipment, leaving a $26.6 million cash deficit by our math before $62.3 million of property sale proceeds.

  • Nine-month cash flow before property sales: negative $141.6 million by our math
  • Nine-month property sale proceeds: $262.5 million, with about $135 million more planned in Q4
  • Full-year net income outlook: top end trimmed $3 million to $358–$360 million
  • Implied Q4 pre-tax loss on property sales: about $22 million by our math

The property sales are now costing money on the income statement too. Management updated its outlook for "Full year net income to include the impact of net losses associated with sale-leaseback transactions" of $17 million for the year, after recording $5.1 million of gains across the first nine months.

What to watch: the sale price versus book value on the $135 million of fourth-quarter property deals. Selling properties below what they cost to build means Life Time is taking a loss upfront and paying rent afterward.

🔴 persistent GROWTH

Six December Openings Crowd Construction and Pre-Opening Costs Into Q4

Life Time is building bigger ground-up clubs, and Akradi said "We are on track to open all 14 new clubs planned for this year, and nearly all of our clubs planned for 2027 are already under construction." While that building spree drives future capacity, it crowds the schedule and the construction bill into the final weeks of the year.

The company opened just one club in the third quarter and one in October, leaving six clubs to open before December 31. Capital spending jumped 29.8% from a year ago to $288.8 million — 32.3% of revenue by our math — and pre-opening expenses nearly tripled to $2.9 million. By our math, the full-year plan leaves $375.5 million of capital spending for the fourth quarter.

What to watch: year-end club count on the fourth-quarter release. Ending below 202 clubs would mean construction delays pushed openings into 2027 after the company already spent the capital.

🔴 persistent CAPITAL ALLOCATION

Risks this quarter didn't answer

Four standing items in the investment case got no new operating detail or saw paused action in the third-quarter release.

  • Share buybacks: $0 spent in Q3 by our math (nine-month repurchases stayed at $73.4 million), testing whether management will use its remaining $426.6 million authorization.
  • New-venture economics: no revenue or profit figures for MIORA longevity clinics or nutritional supplements; the annual filing will show if they remain immaterial.
  • High-income consumer resilience: quarterly spending per member passed $1,000 to $1,016 with no macro slowdown yet; monthly retention in 2027 will test price sensitivity.
  • Founder governance: Akradi remains founder, chairman and chief executive with no disclosed succession update and a buyback plan that allows purchases from insiders.

💲 Other KPIs

Net debt leverage ratio (26Q3) 1.3x
⇘ decelerating

Debt minus cash fell to 1.3 times trailing twelve-month Adjusted EBITDA, down from 1.4 times last quarter and 1.6 times a year ago, staying well below the 2.0 times ceiling.

Deferred revenue (26Q3) $60.6 million
⇄ reversing

Deferred revenue — cash members have paid upfront for personal training and events not yet delivered — rose from $58.0 million in Q2 and is up 0.5% from year-end 2025, reversing the first-half dip.

Diluted share count (26Q3) 229.1 million
⇗ accelerating

Diluted shares rose 1.3% from a year ago and 0.8% from last quarter as employee stock option exercises added $63.0 million of cash over nine months and third-quarter share buybacks paused.

🔮 Guidance

FY26 Total revenue $3,380–$3,390 million
🠅 raised from $3,350–$3,375 million
⇘ decelerating

Raised. The middle of the range moved up $22.5 million to 13.0% growth for the year. By our math, that leaves $836.8 million for Q4, or 12.3% growth from a year ago against 14.2% in Q3. It is the third raise this year: +$20.0M, +$27.5M, +$22.5M.

FY26 Adjusted EBITDA $958–$962 million
🠅 raised from $940–$955 million
⇘ decelerating

Raised. The middle of the range rose $12.5 million to 16.3% full-year growth. By our math, that implies $230.6 million in Q4, or 13.8% growth and a 27.6% margin as six club openings add pre-opening costs. Third raise this year: +$15.0M, +$15.0M, +$12.5M.

FY26 Comparable center revenue growth 8.5%–8.7%
🠅 raised from 7.9%–8.3%
⇘ decelerating

Raised. The middle of the range rose 0.5 percentage points to 8.6% after Q3 delivered 8.7%. By our math, the full-year plan leaves about 8.0% growth for Q4. Third raise this year: +0.4 points, +0.9 points, +0.5 points.

FY26 Net income $358–$360 million
🠇 cut from $358–$363 million
⇘ decelerating

Cut. The top of the range came down $3 million, lowering the middle by $1.5 million to a 3.9% decline from 2025, which had one-off tax and insurance gains. By our math, that leaves $63.1 million for Q4 because the plan now embeds $17 million of full-year sale-leaseback losses.

FY26 Adjusted net income $408–$412 million
🠅 raised from $394–$402 million
⇘ decelerating

Raised. Excluding property-sale losses and stock compensation, the middle of the range rose $12 million to 26.0% growth for the year. By our math, that leaves $88.1 million for Q4, up 13.8% from a year ago.

FY26 Rent $378–$382 million
🠇 cut from $378–$384 million
⇗ accelerating

Cut. The top of the rent expense range fell $2 million, putting the middle at $380 million, or 12.0% higher than 2025. Non-cash rent inside that total tightened to $33–$35 million from $32–$35 million. By our math, Q4 rent is $99.7 million, up 14.2%.

FY26 Cash income tax expense $82–$83 million
🠇 cut from $103–$105 million
⇘ decelerating

Cut. Expected cash taxes fell $21.5 million at the middle of the range, saving cash in Q4 due to "higher projected tax depreciation, a net operating loss deduction carryforward from 2025, and a larger 2025 federal overpayment applied to 2026 than expected." The GAAP tax rate stays 27%.

FY26 Interest expense, net $59–$62 million
🠇 cut from $59–$63 million
⇒ stable

Cut. The top end dropped $1 million, putting the middle at $60.5 million after subtracting $27–$29 million of interest capitalized into construction projects (trimmed from $28–$30 million). Nine-month net interest was $47.8 million, leaving about $12.7 million for Q4 by our math.

FY26 Weighted-average diluted shares 228–229 million
🠅 raised from 227–229 million
⇒ stable

Raised. The bottom of the share count range rose by 1 million to a midpoint of 228.5 million, excluding any future buybacks, after Q3 diluted shares reached 229.1 million on option exercises.

FY26 Capital expenditures (growth, maintenance, modernization) $885–$910M growth; $140–$150M maintenance; $140–$150M modernization
🠆 unchanged from $885–$910M growth; $140–$150M maintenance; $140–$150M modernization
⇗ accelerating

Unchanged. The three capital spending budgets total $1,165–$1,210 million ($1,187.5 million at the middle). With $812.0 million spent in the first nine months, the plan leaves $375.5 million of construction and club spending for Q4 by our math.

FY26 Sale-leaseback transactions and new club openings ~$400 million proceeds (~$135M in Q4); 14 new clubs (6 in Q4)
🠆 unchanged from ~$400 million proceeds; 14 new clubs
⇗ accelerating

Unchanged. Life Time completed $262.5 million of property sales through September and plans about $135 million more in Q4. It opened seven clubs through September and one in October, leaving six clubs to open in the rest of Q4.

❓ Key Questions

Why do fourth-quarter property sales carry a $22 million loss?

Nine-month sale-leasebacks produced a $5.1 million pre-tax gain, yet the full-year outlook now includes $17 million of net losses. That implies a roughly $22 million loss on the $135 million of fourth-quarter deals by our math, raising questions about property valuations.

What did the supplemental presentation show for same-club growth drivers?

In the first two quarters, the supplemental slides split same-club growth into membership mix, price, volume, and in-center spending, and gave exact insurance-funded member counts. The press release omits those splits, which show how much growth still comes from past price hikes.

Why did Life Time pause share buybacks in the third quarter?

Nine-month share repurchases stayed at $73.4 million on the cash flow statement, meaning the company bought back no shares in Q3 after spending $62.7 million in Q2, while option exercises pushed the diluted share count up to 229.1 million.

What are the standalone margins on personal training and spas?

In-center spending grew 16.6% to 28.6% of club revenue, led by Dynamic Personal Training, while club operating costs grew 14.5%. Without separate margin disclosure for training, spas and cafes, investors cannot tell if in-center growth lifts or dilutes club margins.