Primis Financial (FRST) Q4 2025 earnings review

One-Time Gain Masks Weak Core Profit

Primis reported a massive $1.20 in GAAP EPS, but this was driven entirely by a $51M gain on a sale-leaseback transaction. After accounting for this and other one-offs, adjusted operating EPS was just $0.10. The company used the proceeds to restructure its securities portfolio and boost capital, driving a 28% YoY increase in Tangible Book Value Per Share to $13.34. While the balance sheet is stronger and key growth engines like Mortgage Warehouse are scaling, core profitability remains elusive. Management's 2026 guidance for core expenses suggests operating leverage is not yet guaranteed.

๐Ÿ‚ Bull Case

Balance Sheet Repositioned

The sale-leaseback and securities restructuring significantly strengthened the balance sheet. Tangible Common Equity to Tangible Assets ratio improved to 8.33% from 7.16% a year ago, providing a solid capital base for growth in 2026.

Margin Expansion Continues

Net Interest Margin expanded for the second consecutive quarter to 3.28%, up 38 bps YoY. This was driven by a 26% YoY growth in noninterest-bearing deposits and a lower overall cost of funds.

๐Ÿป Bear Case

Poor Earnings Quality

The headline $30M net income is misleading. After adjusting for the sale-leaseback gain and securities loss, operating income was only $2.4M. This highlights a significant gap between reported and underlying profitability.

Elevated Core Expenses

Core operating expenses in Q4 were elevated at $28M due to higher compensation and legal fees. Management's 2026 guidance of $23-24M per quarter implies improvement but requires significant cost control to achieve.

โš–๏ธ Verdict: ๐Ÿ”ด

Bearish. The boost to tangible book value is a clear positive from the one-time transactions. However, the extremely low quality of earnings and ongoing expense pressures are significant concerns. The bull case relies on management executing perfectly on its growth and efficiency plans in 2026, which carries considerable risk.

Key Themes

CONCERNNEW๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด

Headline Profit Masks Underlying Weakness

The reported $30M net income is almost entirely attributable to a $50.6M pre-tax gain from a sale-leaseback transaction, which was partially offset by a $14.8M loss on a securities portfolio sale. The company's own non-GAAP reconciliation shows that adjusted net income was just $2.4M, or $0.10 per share. This discrepancy is a major red flag regarding current earnings quality and shows that the core banking operations are struggling to generate significant profit.

DRIVER๐ŸŸข

Net Interest Margin Expansion Accelerating

A key positive is the continued improvement in the bank's core profitability engine. Net Interest Margin (NIM) has expanded for two consecutive quarters, reaching 3.28% in Q4. The trend is accelerating, up from 3.18% in Q3 and 2.90% a year ago. This is primarily driven by a successful strategy to attract low-cost funding. Noninterest-bearing deposits grew 26% YoY to $554M, pushing the total cost of funds down 45 basis points to 2.52%.

DRIVER๐ŸŸข

Specialty Divisions Are Scaling Rapidly

Primis's national growth strategies are showing strong momentum. Mortgage Warehouse lending is the standout, with outstanding balances soaring 398% YoY to $318M. Primis Mortgage also had a strong quarter, with origination volume up 84% YoY, flipping to a $1.4M pre-tax profit from a loss a year ago. Panacea Financial, serving healthcare professionals, continues to scale with loans up 25% and deposits up 39% YoY. These businesses are becoming meaningful contributors to growth.

CONCERN๐Ÿ”ด

Core Expenses Remain a Hurdle

Reported noninterest expense was $42.2M. Even after adjusting for mortgage-related and non-recurring items, the company's 'Core Operating Expense Burden' was $28.1M, up significantly from $21.6M in Q3. Management attributes this to $4M in higher performance-based compensation and $1.1M in legal fees, which they expect to normalize. However, this spike demonstrates expense volatility and highlights the execution risk in achieving the guided $23-24M quarterly run rate needed to drive operating leverage in 2026.

CONCERNโšช

Credit Quality Still Elevated

Non-performing assets (excluding SBA guarantees) as a percentage of total assets stood at 2.03%. While this is stable compared to Q3's 2.07%, it remains dramatically higher than the 0.29% at the end of 2024. The increase stemmed from a single large commercial real estate loan downgrade in Q2. The lack of material improvement in this metric means credit risk remains a key area for investors to monitor.

DRIVER๐ŸŸข

Consumer Loan Drag Fading

The wind-down of the third-party consumer loan program, a major source of credit losses and volatility in 2024, is nearing completion. Loan balances associated with the program have declined to $90M from $148M a year ago. More importantly, high-risk loans in promotional deferral periods are down to just $2M from $39M. This cleanup removes a significant headwind for 2026.

THEMEโšช

V1BE Tech Platform Represents Future Optionality

The company continues to highlight its proprietary V1BE banking app as a key differentiator, supporting over $200M in commercial deposits. Primis plans to begin licensing this technology to other community banks in 2026. While not yet a financial contributor, this creates a potential new, high-margin SaaS revenue stream and represents a valuable strategic option for the future.

Other KPIs

Tangible Book Value Per Share$13.34

Up 28% YoY from $10.42 and 14% sequentially from $11.71. The significant increase this quarter was a direct result of the net gain from the sale-leaseback and securities restructuring. This has materially improved the bank's capital position, with the Tangible Common Equity to Tangible Assets ratio rising to 8.33% from 7.16% a year ago.

Funding Mix16.3% NIB Deposits

The bank's focus on growing low-cost deposits is succeeding. Noninterest-bearing (NIB) deposits grew 26% YoY to $554M. As a percentage of total deposits, NIBs have increased steadily from 14.4% a year ago to 16.3% today. This improved funding mix is a primary driver of margin expansion.

Guidance

Core Operating Expense Burden$23 - $24 million per quarter

Decelerating. This is the main forward-looking metric provided for 2026. It implies a significant improvement from the reported Q4 core expense burden of $28.1M. Achieving this target is critical for the bank to generate operating leverage as revenues grow.

Key Questions

Bridging the Expense Gap

Reported 'Core Operating Expense Burden' was $28.1M in Q4, yet you are guiding to a $23-24M run rate for 2026. Can you provide a bridge from the Q4 actuals to the 2026 target and detail what gives you confidence that the higher Q4 costs are temporary?

Path for Credit Improvement

Non-performing assets have remained over 2% for three quarters. What is the latest status on the specific commercial real estate loans driving this metric, and what is the expected timeline for resolution or a return to performing status?

Monetizing V1BE Technology

You mentioned plans to license the V1BE platform to other banks in 2026. Can you elaborate on the potential revenue model, the addressable market, and the expected financial impact of this initiative?